La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Griezmann (73')
Gimenez (33'), De Paul (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (33'), Alvarez (54'), Vivian (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, February 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

This is a tough match for Atletico, and Athletic will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result in Sunday's affair. It would certainly not be a surprise to see a draw in Madrid, but we just have a feeling that Atletico will have enough quality to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
49.22% ( -0.69)	26.24% ( -0.12)	24.54% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 47.76% (

1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.18% (

1.04)

55.82% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.06% (

0.84)

76.95% (

-0.84)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27% (

0.13)

22.73% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6% (

0.19)

56.4% (

-0.2)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.81% (

1.33)

38.19% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

1.25)

74.95% (

-1.25)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 49.23%

Athletic Bilbao 24.54%

Draw 26.23%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.23%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.54%