Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals

Feb 1, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Torino

Jovic (65'), Ikone (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Karamoh (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Torino
Saturday, January 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Torino

With more momentum behind them than their misfiring hosts, Torino can build on a good away record this term - they have lost on just four of 12 road trips so far - to reach the semi-finals. Both teams are capable of keeping things tight, but Fiorentina are vulnerable to the odd lapse and will crash out on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Torino had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Torino
52.29% ( -0.36)	23.67% ( 0.06)	24.04% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 55.03% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01% (

0.04)

45.98% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71% (

0.04)

68.29% (

-0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43% (

-0.12)

17.57% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.87% (

-0.21)

48.12% (

0.21)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.77% (

0.29)

33.23% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.16% (

0.32)

69.84% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 52.29%

Torino 24.04%

Draw 23.67%

Fiorentina	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 52.29%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.67%	0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 24.04%