Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2024 at 7pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
1 - 1
Heerenveen

Hansen (47')
Resink (77'), Cathline (87')
Koopmeiners (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sahraoui (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 3-1 Almere City
Wednesday, April 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-8 PSV
Thursday, April 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Almere City 2-1 Heerenveen

Both teams are fighting to return to winning ways on Friday, but the visitors should be particularly wounded from last week's beating, and we envisage them falling short in a result which would see the two sides move level on points with two games left to play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Heerenveen
28% ( 0.43)	23.66% ( 0.22)	48.34% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 58.89% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.37% (

-0.69)

42.63% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.96% (

-0.69)

65.04% (

0.69)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.64% (

-0.05)

28.35% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.91% (

-0.06)

64.09% (

0.06)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.19% (

-0.51)

17.81% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.47% (

-0.89)

48.53% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Almere City 28%

Heerenveen 48.34%

Draw 23.66%

Almere City	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.73% Total : 48.34%