Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
3 - 3
Utrecht

de Wit (15'), van Bommel (16'), Pavlidis (37')
Pavlidis (38'), Sadiq (51')
de Wit (60')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Boussaid (55'), Lammers (71'), Jensen (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 0-1 Sparta
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Utrecht

AZ have put together a strong end to the season and will be confident of rounding off on a high. We can see the home side getting the job done at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Utrecht
64.95% ( -1.65)	19.09% ( 0.81)	15.95% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 57.08% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.2% (

-2.18)

36.8% (

2.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.03% (

-2.4)

58.97% (

2.4)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.34% (

-1.01)

10.65% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.49% (

-2.31)

34.51% (

2.31)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.88% (

-0.33)

36.12% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.1% (

-0.34)

72.9% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 64.95%

FC Utrecht 15.95%

Draw 19.09%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.21) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.79% Total : 64.95%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.09%	1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.95%