Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Vitesse
Vitesse might have picked up three points during their most recent outing, but they will still head into this game as the underdogs due to the league positions of each team.
With Utrecht needing to pick up some more positive results to secure European football, they have plenty to play for and that could be the crucial difference here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 75.64% . A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.13% .
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.1% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 3-0 (8.51%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%) , while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (2.99%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result FC Utrecht Draw Vitesse 75.64% ( 0.21) 14.23% ( 0.06) 10.13% ( -0.26)
Both teams to score 58.03% ( -1.44)
72.61% ( -1.2) 27.39% ( 1.2)
52.02% ( -1.52) 47.98% ( 1.52)
93.97% ( -0.22) 6.03% ( 0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 77.03% ( -0.63) 22.97% ( 0.63)
61.76% ( -1.38) 38.24% ( 1.39)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25% ( -1.36) 75% ( 1.36)
FC Utrecht 75.64%
Vitesse 10.13%
Draw 14.23%
FC Utrecht Draw Vitesse 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.15) 6-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) Other @ 5% Total : 75.64% 1-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.23% 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.55% Total : 10.13%
How you voted: Utrecht vs Vitesse
15
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 14:38:47
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