UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

May 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Basel

(Fiorentina win 4-3 on aggregate)

Cabral (25')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diouf (71'), Amdouni (90+2')
Nuhu (59'), Vogel (67'), Burger (72'), Ndoye (78')

The Match

Match Report

Basel come from a goal down to beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the first leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 7 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Basel

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Basel 0-2 FC Zurich
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Basel had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Basel
62.98% ( -0)	19.95% ( 0)	17.06% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.48% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.24% (

-0.02)

38.75% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.93% (

-0.02)

61.06% (

0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.25% (

-0.01)

11.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.11% (

-0.01)

36.89% (

0.01)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99% (

-0.01)

36.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21% (

-0.01)

72.78% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 62.98%

Basel 17.06%

Draw 19.95%

Fiorentina	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.06% Total : 62.98%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.95%	1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.06%