Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
14.73% ( 1.3) | 19.89% ( 1.16) | 65.38% ( -2.45) |
Both teams to score 51.14% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.91% ( -2.38) | 43.09% ( 2.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.51% ( -2.39) | 65.49% ( 2.39) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.37% ( 0.38) | 41.63% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.88% ( 0.33) | 78.11% ( -0.33) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.63% ( -1.35) | 12.37% ( 1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.77% ( -2.9) | 38.23% ( 2.9) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.73% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.58) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.89% | 0-2 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 7.83% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 6.87% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 4.09% ( -0.47) 1-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 1.71% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.35% Total : 65.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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