Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
1 - 1
Salernitana

Olivera (62')
Zielinski (55'), Olivera (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dia (84')
Daniliuc (73'), Pirola (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Napoli 2-1 Salernitana

With just two wins on the road so far, surely Salernitana cannot spoil Napoli's big day by seizing success in this Campania derby? Having last tasted defeat back in February, they can put up some stiff resistance, but the peerless Partenopei will ultimately prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 77%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.58%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Salernitana
77% ( 0.31)	14.74% ( -0.14)	8.26% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.05% (

0.05)

36.94% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.87% (

0.05)

59.12% (

-0.06)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.11% (

0.07)

7.89% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.08% (

0.2)

27.92% (

-0.2)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.87% (

-0.37)

49.12% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.95% (

-0.26)

84.04% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Napoli 76.99%

Salernitana 8.26%

Draw 14.74%

Napoli	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.99%	1-1 @ 7% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 14.74%	0-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 8.26%