Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
0 - 1
Napoli

Locatelli (23'), Rabiot (40'), Fagioli (85'), di Maria (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Raspadori (90+3')
Zambo Anguissa (90+8')

The Match

Match Report

Serie A leaders Napoli record a 1-0 win over Juventus in Turin courtesy of a 93rd-minute effort from late substitute Giacomo Raspadori.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Juventus
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Napoli
25.72% ( 0.01)	26.03% ( 0)	48.25% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.43% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-0.01)

54.18% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-0.01)

75.59% (

0.01)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

0.01)

36.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98% (

0.01)

73.03% (

-0.01)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

-0.01)

22.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.99% (

-0.02)

56.02% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Juventus 25.72%

Napoli 48.25%

Draw 26.03%

Juventus	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.72%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 48.25%