Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
3 - 1
Sparta Prague

(Sparta Prague win 5-4 on aggregate)

Spikic (44'), Peric (58'), Ivanusec (61')
Baturina (21')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Krejci (39' pen.)
Laci (70')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions

Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Prague

All competitions

Last Game: Teplice 1-1 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 19 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Sparta Prague

Jakirovic is tasked with making an immediate impact in charge of Dinamo Zagreb, who will be looking to put aside their Champions League qualification exit with a positive result at home against Sparta Prague. There has been little to separate these two teams in previous meetings and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Thursday, which could result in a share of the spoils to keep the tie nicely poised ahead of next week's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Sparta Prague
38.12% ( -0.02)	26.62% ( 0)	35.25% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.09% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.14% (

-0)

52.86% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52% (

-0)

74.47% (

-0)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

-0.01)

26.97% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.68% (

-0.02)

62.32% (

0.02)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

0.01)

28.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

0.02)

64.48% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 38.12%

Sparta Prague 35.26%

Draw 26.61%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Sparta Prague
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.12%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.26%