Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 31, 2023 at 6pm UK

Epet Arena

Sparta Prague
4 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb

(Sparta Prague win 5-4 on aggregate)

Haraslin (2'), Sorensen (24'), Panak (67'), Olatunji (87')
Olatunji (50'), Wiesner (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Baturina (71')
Moharrami (44')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sparta Prague and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Prague

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sparta Prague 3-1 MFK Karvina
Sunday, August 27 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Rijeka
Sunday, August 27 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Prague 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb to win 5-2 on aggregate)

The onus is on Sparta Prague to take the game to Dinamo Zagreb on home soil and show a greater threat in the final third if they are to overturn the two-goal deficit. However, the visitors appear to have turned a corner since the appointment of Jakirovic and we expect the Croatian side to come away with another victory to book their place in the Europa League group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
49.81% ( -0.04)	24.06% ( 0)	26.13% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.91% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.16% (

0.03)

45.84% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.84% (

0.03)

68.16% (

-0.03)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54%

18.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35% (

-0.01)

49.66% (

0.01)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

0.05)

31.44% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

0.06)

67.81% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 49.81%

Dinamo Zagreb 26.13%

Draw 24.06%

Sparta Prague	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.81%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.13%