Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK

Aker Stadion

Molde
2 - 2
Qarabag

Eriksen (82', 87')
Grodem (36'), Fjortoft Lovik (43'), Wolff Eikrem (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Juninho (11'), Mustafazada (90+5')
Andrade (66'), Medina (76'), Xhixha (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-3 Molde
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Last Game: Qarabag 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

The international break seemed to have done wonders for Molde, as they looked much sharper in their weekend fixture against Sapsborg, and that win would also have given them some much-needed momentum heading into this crucial fixture. The hosts cannot qualify for Europe next season due to their poor league position and will have to throw everything they have into the next two matches in this competition. It should be an entertaining watch, but we are backing the hosts to get the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 3-1 (5.67%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Molde	Draw	Qarabag FK
46.37% ( 0.26)	21.99% ( 0.05)	31.64% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 67.49% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.65% (

-0.39)

32.36% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.02% (

-0.46)

53.98% (

0.47)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.38% (

-0.06)

14.62% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.27% (

-0.12)

42.73% (

0.12)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

-0.35)

20.96% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.3% (

-0.56)

53.71% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Molde 46.37%

Qarabag FK 31.64%

Draw 21.99%

Molde	Draw	Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.37%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.64%