Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

While Algeria have not been at their best this year, they still possess a roster packed with talent and will be looking to welcome their new manager to the side with a good performance. Bolivia will not make this easy, but we fancy the hosts to edge the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 91.21%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 1.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.62%) and 4-0 (13.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.52%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (0.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Bolivia
91.21% ( -0.04)	7.17% ( 0.03)	1.62% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 22.83% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.97% (

-0.08)

35.03% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.97% (

-0.09)

57.02% (

0.09)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.37% (

-0.02)

4.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.14% (

-0.06)

18.86% (

0.06)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

23.94% (

0.04)

76.06% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

3.13% (

0.01)

96.87% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Algeria 91.19%

Bolivia 1.62%

Draw 7.17%

Algeria	Draw	Bolivia
3-0 @ 17.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 16.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 91.19%	0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 7.17%	0-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 1.62%