Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
21.07% ( 0)	23.58% ( 0.01)	55.34% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.51% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

-0.04)

48.81% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

-0.04)

70.91% (

0.03)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.43% (

-0.02)

37.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.65% (

-0.02)

74.35% (

0.01)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51% (

-0.02)

17.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.02% (

-0.04)

47.98% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 21.07%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55.34%

Draw 23.58%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.49% 2-0 @ 3.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.07%	1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 55.34%