Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 69.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 11.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
69.47% ( 0.32)	19.26% ( -0.06)	11.27% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 43.24% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.67% (

-0.41)

48.33% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.52% (

-0.38)

70.47% (

0.38)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.22% (

-0.03)

12.77% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.94% (

-0.07)

39.06% (

0.06)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.57% (

-0.73)

50.43% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.04% (

-0.51)

84.95% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 69.46%

Kyoto Sanga 11.27%

Draw 19.26%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
2-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 69.46%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.55% Total : 19.26%	0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 11.27%