While Yokohama F Marinos have the best attacking record this season with 37 goals, they have also conceded the most of any side in the top half of the table, and it seems unlikely that they will maintain a clean sheet here either. However, Muscat's main plan of action so far this season seems to be based on outscoring their opponents, and we fancy that they will do just that in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
49.2% ( -2.02)	23.44% ( 0.34)	27.36% ( 1.68)

Both teams to score 59.12% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.9% (

-0.19)

42.1% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.5% (

-0.19)

64.5% (

0.19)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.73% (

-0.82)

17.27% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.39% (

-1.45)

47.61% (

1.45)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46% (

1.16)

28.54% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.68% (

1.43)

64.32% (

-1.43)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.2%

Yokohama F Marinos 27.36%

Draw 23.44%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.95% Total : 49.2%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.54% Total : 27.36%