La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
1 - 0
Getafe

Joselu (38' pen.)
Fernandez (36'), Braithwaite (42'), Nico (71'), Vidal (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alena (37'), Duarte (51'), Maksimovic (57'), Villar (73'), Latasa (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Almeria
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both teams will be desperate not to lose this match, which is likely to create a cagey affair. There is not an awful lot between the sides in terms of quality, and it is difficult to back either with any real confidence, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 41.54%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Espanyol in this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Getafe
41.54% ( -0.57)	30.26% ( 0.33)	28.2% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 39.98% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.06% (

-0.87)

66.95% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.77% (

-0.59)

85.23% (

0.6)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08% (

-0.78)

31.93% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63% (

-0.91)

68.38% (

0.91)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.72% (

-0.3)

41.28% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.2% (

-0.27)

77.81% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 41.54%

Getafe 28.2%

Draw 30.25%

Espanyol	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 15.04% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.54%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.25%	0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.24% Total : 28.2%