Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
32.6% ( 0.09) | 27.63% ( 0.01) | 39.77% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 48.49% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.81% ( -0) | 57.19% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.95% ( -0) | 78.05% ( 0) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( 0.06) | 32.57% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( 0.07) | 69.1% ( -0.07) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( -0.06) | 28.09% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( -0.08) | 63.76% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |