Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Valladolid |
58.27% ( -0.18) | 22.36% ( 0.09) | 19.37% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.15% ( -0.29) | 45.85% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.83% ( -0.27) | 68.16% ( 0.27) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.57% ( -0.16) | 15.43% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.73% ( -0.29) | 44.26% ( 0.29) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% ( -0.08) | 37.64% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% ( -0.08) | 74.41% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 58.26% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |