Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
43.99% ( -1.12) | 26.61% ( -0.08) | 29.4% ( 1.21) |
Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.64% ( 0.88) | 54.36% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.26% ( 0.73) | 75.74% ( -0.73) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.44% ( -0.16) | 24.55% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.96% ( -0.23) | 59.04% ( 0.23) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.6% ( 1.39) | 33.4% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.98% ( 1.5) | 70.02% ( -1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |