Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
48.92% ( -1.26) | 26.95% ( 0.5) | 24.14% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.38% ( -1.19) | 58.62% ( 1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.82% ( -0.94) | 79.18% ( 0.94) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% ( -1.09) | 24.08% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.64% ( -1.57) | 58.36% ( 1.57) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.87% ( 0.04) | 40.13% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.23% ( 0.04) | 76.77% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |