Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Granada |
53.02% ( -1.24) | 25.2% ( 0.96) | 21.78% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.67% ( -2.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.62% ( -3.43) | 54.38% ( 3.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.24% ( -2.93) | 75.75% ( 2.93) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.49% ( -1.82) | 20.51% ( 1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47% ( -2.97) | 53% ( 2.96) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.98% ( -1.67) | 40.02% ( 1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.33% ( -1.56) | 76.67% ( 1.56) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 13% ( 0.98) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.02% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 1.04) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |