Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
38.9% ( 0.28) | 27.25% ( 0.04) | 33.86% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.46% ( -0.2) | 55.54% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% ( -0.17) | 76.72% ( 0.17) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% ( 0.06) | 27.81% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% ( 0.08) | 63.39% ( -0.08) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% ( -0.31) | 30.88% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.83% ( -0.36) | 67.17% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |