Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
61.79% ( -1.54) | 22.94% ( 0.53) | 15.27% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 43.18% ( 0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.51% ( -0.23) | 54.49% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.15% ( -0.2) | 75.85% ( 0.19) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.76% ( -0.62) | 17.24% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.46% ( -1.09) | 47.54% ( 1.09) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.18% ( 1.32) | 47.82% ( -1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.9% ( 0.95) | 83.1% ( -0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.3% Total : 61.78% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |