League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tallaght Stadium
Shamrock2 - 2Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shelbourne 2-1 Shamrock
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
40.25% ( 0.08) | 26.73% ( 0.07) | 33.02% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.33% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.36% ( -0.33) | 53.64% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.86% ( -0.28) | 75.13% ( 0.28) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( -0.11) | 26.16% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.75% ( -0.15) | 61.24% ( 0.15) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( -0.27) | 30.48% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( -0.32) | 66.69% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Shamrock Rovers 40.25%
Derry City 33.02%
Draw 26.72%
Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.02% |
How you voted: Shamrock vs Derry
Shamrock Rovers
33.3%Draw
50.0%Derry City
16.7%6
Head to Head
May 1, 2023 7.15pm
Mar 3, 2023 8pm
Oct 30, 2022 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-16 15:48:35
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shelbourne | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 28 |
2 | Derry CityDerry | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
3 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
4 | Waterford UnitedWaterford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
5 | Galway United | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Bohemians | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
7 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
9 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
10 | DundalkDundalk | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
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