League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Lubala (16')
Oshilaja (67'), Crocombe (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kenneh (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 1-0 Shrewsbury Town

Shrewsbury have lost eight of their 12 away league matches this season, while Burton Albion have posted four wins in front of their own supporters. We are expecting a close game on Friday evening but believe that the hosts will just about shade the contest to collect a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
41.93% ( -0.08)	27.69% ( 0.01)	30.38% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.56% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.99% (

-0.03)

58.01% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.31% (

-0.02)

78.69% (

0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.06)

27.29% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

-0.08)

62.73% (

0.08)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

0.04)

34.58% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

0.04)

71.3% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 41.92%

Shrewsbury Town 30.38%

Draw 27.68%

Burton Albion	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.92%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.38%