League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Port Vale
Having won three of their last five league games, Port Vale head into Monday's contest off the back of a positive run of results, and we think that they will claim another victory when they go up against a Carlisle side that has lost six of their previous nine matches in League One.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.19% . A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%) . The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result Carlisle United Draw Port Vale 42.19% ( -0.01) 26.54% ( -0) 31.27% ( 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.35% ( 0.02)
46.64% ( 0.02) 53.36% ( -0.02)
25.1% ( 0.02) 74.9% ( -0.02)
74.99% ( 0.01) 25.02% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.32% ( 0.01) 59.68% ( -0.01)
68.48% ( 0.02) 31.53% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.09% ( 0.02) 67.92% ( -0.02)
Carlisle United 42.18%
Port Vale 31.27%
Draw 26.53%
Carlisle United Draw Port Vale 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.18% 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.53% 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.27%
How you voted: Carlisle vs Port Vale
Carlisle United
Draw
Port Vale
8
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 04:10:29
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