League One

League One | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Stockley (58'), Omochere (90+4')
Vela (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oshilaja (60'), Hamer (80'), Kirk (90+6')
Ashworth (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Burton Albion

Games involving Fleetwood Town always seem to be tight affairs, and that is why we expect them to play out a draw against Burton Albion on Saturday. The Brewers were very impressive in their victory against Oxford United last time out, but the sides are very evenly-matched, and it is unlikely either team runs away with it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Burton Albion
44.26% ( -0.05)	25.61% ( 0.02)	30.13% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.76% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50% (

-0.06)

49.99% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.02% (

-0.06)

71.97% (

0.05)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47% (

-0.05)

22.53% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89% (

-0.07)

56.11% (

0.07)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

-0.01)

30.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

-0.01)

66.84% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 44.25%

Burton Albion 30.13%

Draw 25.6%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.25%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.13%