League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Eastwood (40' og.), Taylor (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Goodrham (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Shrewsbury
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Oxford United

Burton Albion will certainly be low on confidence after the recent thrashings they have suffered, and with the need to quickly bounce back to stay in the fight in the top half, we back Oxford United to take all three points away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Oxford United
35.06% ( 0.07)	25.38% ( 0.03)	39.57% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 56.22% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.44% (

-0.1)

47.56% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24% (

-0.09)

69.77% (

0.1)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

-0.01)

26.25% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

-0.01)

61.36% (

0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

-0.09)

23.77% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08% (

-0.13)

57.93% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 35.06%

Oxford United 39.57%

Draw 25.38%

Burton Albion	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.06%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 39.57%