League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Ipswich

Wildschut (34'), Brannagan (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Davis (38')
Donacien (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ipswich Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich's most recent league win took place against Oxford on Boxing Day, and although we do not think it will be as one-sided as that 3-0 scoreline, we still believe that the Tractor Boys will draw upon that experience to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Ipswich Town
23.85% ( 0.09)	24.13% ( -0.01)	52.01% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.34% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.87% (

0.13)

48.13% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71% (

0.12)

70.29% (

-0.12)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.43% (

0.16)

34.57% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.71% (

0.17)

71.29% (

-0.16)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

0.02)

18.48% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.31% (

0.03)

49.69% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 23.85%

Ipswich Town 52.01%

Draw 24.12%

Oxford United	Draw	Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 23.85%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.01%