League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
0 - 2
Exeter

Devoy (36'), Harvie (63'), Watson (81'), Kaikai (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brown (37' pen., 67')
Brown (22')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Exeter City

Although MK Dons are currently in a relegation fight, they have never lost a competitive home game against Exeter, and we think that they will continue that run by playing out a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Exeter City
46.82% ( 0.01)	24.85%	28.33% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.13% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.3% (

-0.01)

47.7% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.11% (

-0.01)

69.89% (

0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.58% (

20.42% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.14% (

0.01)

52.86% (

-0)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.28% (

-0.01)

30.73% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.02% (

-0.01)

66.98% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 46.82%

Exeter City 28.33%

Draw 24.84%

MK Dons	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.82%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 28.33%