Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
27.53% ( -2.59) | 25.27% ( -0.58) | 47.21% ( 3.17) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.03% ( 1.03) | 49.97% ( -1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.04% ( 0.91) | 71.96% ( -0.91) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.48% ( -1.39) | 32.52% ( 1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.95% ( -1.6) | 69.05% ( 1.59) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.82% ( 1.88) | 21.18% ( -1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.94% ( 2.84) | 54.06% ( -2.84) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.64) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.53% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.41) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.52) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.25) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.28) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.5% Total : 47.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |