League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Port Vale

This encounter is likely to be a close affair with both teams still fighting for something on the final day of the campaign, but home advantage and a chance to clinch the league title should be enough motivation to push the home side over the line. Port Vale's poor run is concerning, and Exeter are expected to pounce on that as an opportunity to finish this season in the best way possible. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Port Vale
51.39%	25.81%	22.81%

Both teams to score 47.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.35%

55.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2%

76.8%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29%

21.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.13%

54.87%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.28%

39.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.61%

76.39%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 51.38%

Port Vale 22.81%

Draw 25.8%

Exeter City	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.29% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.08% Total : 51.38%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.38% Total : 22.81%