League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
0 - 1
Port Vale

Bogle (88'), Byrne (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hall (67')
Taylor (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Walsall	46	-13	54
17	Hartlepool United	46	-20	54
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77

We said: Hartlepool United 1-2 Port Vale

Hartlepool have fought their way back into several matches this season, showing an ability to compete against the top teams in League Two, but they lack that quality and consistency in the final third, which has enabled Port Vale to prevail in many encounters this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Port Vale
30.4%	26.45%	43.16%

Both teams to score 51.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7%

53.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15%

74.85%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.88%

32.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.41%

68.59%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.5%

24.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.04%

58.96%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 30.4%

Port Vale 43.15%

Draw 26.45%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.4%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.15%