League Two

League Two | Gameweek 22

Mar 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
0 - 0
Exeter

Diabate (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Exeter City

Both teams have been firing on all cylinders of late, and the confidence will be there to add to their respective recent runs. With that in mind, we can see a competitive draw being played out in Staffordshire, one which would benefit Exeter slightly more than the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Exeter City
40.01%	27.51%	32.48%

Both teams to score 48.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.19%

56.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.26%

77.74%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22%

27.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.64%

63.36%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54%

32.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02%

68.97%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 40%

Exeter City 32.47%

Draw 27.51%

Port Vale	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.47%