Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
43.65% ( 0.52) | 26.77% ( -0.01) | 29.57% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 49.85% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.08% ( -0.15) | 54.91% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.8% ( -0.13) | 76.2% ( 0.12) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( 0.2) | 24.97% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% ( 0.27) | 59.62% ( -0.27) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.44% ( -0.46) | 33.55% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.8% ( -0.5) | 70.19% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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