Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Vlahovic (27')
Cambiaso (11'), Kostic (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Martinez (33')
Cuadrado (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Frosinone
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Juventus 0-1 Inter Milan

Only Ligue 1's Nice have conceded fewer goals than Inter (six) and Juventus (seven) throughout Europe's top five leagues this season, so a single strike could be enough to separate the sides on Sunday. Juve may have made up ground and are generally dominant at home to their old rivals, but the Nerazzurri are set to prevail and open up a five-point lead atop Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Inter Milan
33.55% ( 0.15)	27.9% ( -0.11)	38.55% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.89% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

0.44)

58.04% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

0.34)

78.72% (

-0.34)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.64% (

0.32)

32.35% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.14% (

0.36)

68.86% (

-0.37)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

0.19)

29.2% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85% (

0.23)

65.15% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Juventus 33.55%

Inter Milan 38.54%

Draw 27.89%

Juventus	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.55%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.54%