Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Juventus

(Inter Milan win 2-1 on aggregate)

Dimarco (15')
Mkhitaryan (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Locatelli (59')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, April 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Juventus (Inter win 3-2 on aggregate)

As knockout kings - Inter lifted last year's Coppa Italia and are into the semis of both cup competitions this season - it is the home side who should scrape through to the final. The Nerazzurri have thrived on the big stage despite slipping up several times in Serie A; Juve's limitations have been exposed while winning just one of their last five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
50.13% ( -0.46)	25.92% ( 0.23)	23.95% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.89% (

-0.66)

55.11% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.64% (

-0.54)

76.37% (

0.55)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.97% (

-0.47)

22.03% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.65% (

-0.72)

55.36% (

0.73)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66% (

-0.15)

38.34% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

-0.14)

75.09% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 50.13%

Juventus 23.95%

Draw 25.91%

Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.13%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.95%