Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
0 - 3
Montpellier

Ponceau (20'), Talbi (33')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Adams (30', 89'), Savanier (73' pen.)
Esteve (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Lorient
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, September 24 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Lorient 2-2 Montpellier HSC

Both sides have been among the goals frequently this season, but letting in too many means they are both early relegation candidates. The two have been prone to drawing matches this season, and the same could well happen again, extending Montpellier's unbeaten run to 14 matches in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Montpellier HSC
31.06% ( -0.81)	23.89% ( -0.23)	45.05% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 60.07% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.05% (

0.72)

41.94% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.65% (

0.73)

64.35% (

-0.73)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

-0.15)

25.97% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

-0.2)

60.98% (

0.2)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15% (

0.73)

18.85% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.69% (

1.21)

50.31% (

-1.21)

Score Analysis

Lorient 31.06%

Montpellier HSC 45.05%

Draw 23.89%

Lorient	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.06%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.89%	1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.38% Total : 45.05%