Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
46.54% ( -0.05) | 23.56% ( -0.01) | 29.9% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 60.58% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.02% ( 0.09) | 40.98% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.63% ( 0.09) | 63.37% ( -0.09) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( 0.02) | 17.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% ( 0.03) | 48.64% ( -0.03) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0.08) | 26.23% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.66% ( 0.11) | 61.33% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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