Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
54.87% ( 1.29) | 25.17% ( -0.2) | 19.96% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 45.36% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.84% ( -0.42) | 56.15% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.78% ( -0.34) | 77.22% ( 0.34) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( 0.36) | 20.47% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% ( 0.56) | 52.93% ( -0.56) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.04% ( -1.42) | 42.96% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.74% ( -1.22) | 79.26% ( 1.22) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.86% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |