Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 4pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
2 - 2
Lille

Assignon (74'), Salah (89')
Matic (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yoro (33'), Diakite (62')
Yazici (30'), Diakite (51'), David (86'), Gomes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Rennes
Saturday, September 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Given that both sides have made a strong start to the 2023-24 campaign, we can see Rennes and Lille serving up an intriguing contest at Roazhon Park. Les Rennais have already scored seven goals in two home games this term, so we expect the hosts to edge out the visitors in what promises to be a closely-fought battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Lille
41.56% ( 0.91)	25.01% ( 0.11)	33.43% ( -1.03)

Both teams to score 57.12% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

-0.74)

46.23% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.47% (

-0.71)

68.52% (

0.71)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8% (

0.12)

22.2% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.39% (

0.18)

55.61% (

-0.18)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41% (

-0.97)

26.58% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.2% (

-1.3)

61.8% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Rennes 41.56%

Lille 33.43%

Draw 25%

Rennes	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.56%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.43%