Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
41.47% ( 0.04) | 25.99% ( -0.03) | 32.53% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.26% ( 0.12) | 50.74% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.36% ( 0.11) | 72.64% ( -0.11) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% ( 0.08) | 24.21% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% ( 0.11) | 58.55% ( -0.11) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( 0.05) | 29.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.66% ( 0.06) | 65.33% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |