Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Lens |
16.52% ( -0.6) | 23.05% ( -0.21) | 60.43% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 45.44% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.11% ( -0.12) | 52.88% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.5% ( -0.11) | 74.49% ( 0.1) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.84% ( -0.84) | 45.16% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.94% ( -0.68) | 81.06% ( 0.67) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( 0.24) | 17.14% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.63% ( 0.42) | 47.37% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.52% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 13.65% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 12.03% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 60.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |