Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Jean Bouin

Angers
1 - 1
Auxerre

Raveloson (2' og.)
Bentaleb (62'), Blazic (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Abline (22' pen.)
Bouhazama (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angers

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Rodez AF
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

A meeting of such importance between the bottom two clubs in Ligue 1 is likely to be a cagey affair, with the first goal absolutely vital in determining the outcome of the match. The two sides know only a win will help their chances of survival, but the possibility of allowing their nearest relegation rival to gain three points will be unthinkable for both. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Angers	Draw	Auxerre
37.9% ( -0.2)	26.27% ( -0.13)	35.82% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 53.29% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.64% (

0.57)

51.36% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81% (

0.49)

73.18% (

-0.5)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

0.15)

26.4% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

0.2)

61.56% (

-0.21)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

0.47)

27.6% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

0.6)

63.13% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Angers 37.9%

Auxerre 35.82%

Draw 26.27%

Angers	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.9%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.82%