Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
0 - 5
Toulouse

Niang (43'), Mensah (55'), Jubal (88')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Chaibi (4'), Rouault (33'), van den Boomen (41' pen.), Aboukhlal (75'), Dallinga (88')
Sylla (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre are on the hunt for their first league success since October but have a tough assignment against a Toulouse side who are fresh off a 7-1 victory in Coupe de France. Montanier will have difficult decisions to make regarding team selection after some of his fringe players impressed on Sunday, but he should be able to manage his side to at least a point in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Toulouse
38.12% ( -1.03)	25.81% ( -0.02)	36.07% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

0.21)

49.34% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

0.19)

71.39% (

-0.19)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65% (

-0.46)

25.34% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86% (

-0.64)

60.13% (

0.63)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

0.72)

26.5% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31% (

0.95)

61.69% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 38.12%

Toulouse 36.07%

Draw 25.8%

Auxerre	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.12%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 36.07%