Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Nov 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
2 - 1
Toulouse

Bourigeaud (25'), Kalimuendo (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dallinga (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, November 6 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse led Ligue 2 in scoring a season ago, but they have not been as consistent in the attacking third in the top flight. Even without their top goalscorer in Terrier, Rennes have a plethora of scoring threats that the visitors will need to watch out for, and we believe the depth of Les Rennais will overwhelm Les Pitchouns this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 74.85%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Toulouse
74.85% ( 0.23)	15.96% ( -0.07)	9.19% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 46.49% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.35% (

-0.22)

39.65% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38% (

-0.23)

62% (

0.23)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.98%

9.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.29% (

30.71% (

-0)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.1% (

-0.5)

48.9% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.12% (

-0.36)

83.88% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Rennes 74.83%

Toulouse 9.19%

Draw 15.96%

Rennes	Draw	Toulouse
2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 74.83%	1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.7% Total : 15.96%	0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 9.19%