Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 7.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.48%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
77.94% | 14.76% | 7.3% |
Both teams to score 41.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.18% | 40.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% | 63.21% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.42% | 8.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.34% | 29.66% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.8% | 54.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.6% | 87.4% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 14.02% 3-0 @ 11.48% 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 8.59% 4-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.32% 5-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.55% Total : 77.93% | 1-1 @ 7% 0-0 @ 4.65% 2-2 @ 2.63% Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.76% | 0-1 @ 2.85% 1-2 @ 2.14% Other @ 2.31% Total : 7.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |