Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Charlotte FC |
60.57% ( 0.13) | 21.59% ( -0.07) | 17.84% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.16% ( 0.2) | 44.84% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.8% ( 0.19) | 67.2% ( -0.19) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.65% ( 0.1) | 14.35% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.79% ( 0.2) | 42.21% ( -0.21) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.25% ( 0.05) | 38.75% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.52% ( 0.05) | 75.48% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Charlotte FC |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.56% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 17.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |