Major League Soccer

May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Reliant Stadium

Houston
3 - 1
Colorado

Bassi (40'), Blessing (70'), Kowalczyk (80')
Steres (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mihailovic (50')
Anderson (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Houston
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Colorado Rapids

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 3-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Colorado Rapids

Houston have had a disappointing run of fixtures coming into this game and will be far from pleased with their performances at home so far this campaign, and while the Rapids have had a much better start this year they have failed to win at this stadium in either of the last two meetings, and we expect that to continue with a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Colorado Rapids
64.93% ( -0.47)	18.9% ( 0.01)	16.16% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 58.32% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.57% (

0.87)

35.42% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.53% (

0.96)

57.46% (

-0.97)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.72% (

0.13)

10.27% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.36% (

0.3)

33.63% (

-0.31)

Colorado Rapids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.99% (

1.1)

35% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.25% (

1.14)

71.74% (

-1.15)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 64.93%

Colorado Rapids 16.16%

Draw 18.9%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Colorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.93%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.9%	1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.53% Total : 16.16%